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Vietnamese exporters face dual challenge over power supply

Vietnamese exporters face dual challenge over power supply

Ensuring an adequate power supply remains critical as Vietnam's manufacturing and exports expand rapidly. However, some companies in global supply chains must also meet requirements on renewable electricity use and emissions. A draft amendment to Vietnam’s Electricity Law, now under consideration by the National Assembly, seeks to refine mechanisms to address these needs.

On October 20, at a working session of the National Assembly, the country's legislature, Minister of Industry and Trade Le Manh Hung presented a proposal to amend and supplement several provisions of the Electricity Law. The draft focuses on resolving bottlenecks in power generation and grid investment, while refining the framework for direct power purchase agreements (DPPAs) and renewable energy certificates.

The proposals come as businesses’ electricity needs evolve. National Assembly member Trinh Tu Anh, representing Lam Dong province, said many companies, particularly those participating in international supply chains, need not only reliable electricity at competitive prices but also proof of energy origin, renewable electricity usage, and emissions generated during production.

This presents the power sector with two parallel challenges: ensuring sufficient electricity to support economic growth and enabling businesses to access clean power and verify its use to meet customer requirements.

Reliable power supply remains an immediate priority

Vietnam’s manufacturing and export activities continued to expand strongly in the first nine months of 2026. Merchandise exports reached $434.3 billion, up 24.5% from a year earlier, according to the National Statistics Office. Industrial production rose 12.3%, while manufacturing and processing output increased 12.9%.

The expansion in manufacturing has been accompanied by a substantial rise in electricity demand.

The Ministry of Industry and Trade reported that commercial electricity consumption nationwide reached 237.19 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in the first nine months, up 9.66% year-on-year. Industry and construction accounted for 122.18 billion kWh, an increase of 8.32%, representing around 51.5% of total electricity sales.

Accounting for more than half of consumption, industry and construction remain the largest electricity-consuming sectors. For factories, a stable power supply is essential to keep production lines running, operate equipment and meet delivery schedules.

The ministry said the power system operated safely and reliably during the nine-month period, meeting demand from businesses and households. Maintaining supply over the longer term, however, will require coordinated development of generation capacity, transmission networks and grid dispatch capabilities.

According to Vietnam Electricity (EVN), total electricity generated and imported across the system reached 265.79 billion kWh in the first nine months. Coal-fired power contributed 132.63 billion kWh, or 49.9%, while hydropower generated 68.48 billion kWh, or 25.8%. Renewable energy sources, as classified by EVN, supplied 33.6 billion kWh, accounting for 12.6%. Gas-fired power contributed 20.48 billion kWh, while electricity imports totalled 10.3 billion kWh.

Hydropower output fell nearly 9% from a year earlier amid hydrological conditions affected by the El Niño phenomenon.

By contrast, coal- and gas-fired power together increased their share of total generation and imports to 57.6%, from 53.9% a year earlier, despite growth in other renewable energy sources. The shift towards a greater share of fossil fuels adds pressure to greenhouse gas emissions at a time when environmental requirements are becoming increasingly linked to manufacturing and export activities.

At the "Clean Energy for a New Era of Growth" forum held in Hanoi on October 27, Mai Duy Thien, chairman of the Vietnam Clean Energy Association, stressed the need to consider energy development in the context of economic growth and national competitiveness.

Clean energy development would not only help diversify supply but also enable businesses to adapt to increasingly stringent environmental standards, he said. This highlights the need to address energy security and the transition to cleaner electricity in parallel.

Clean electricity becomes a gateway to global supply chains

Renewable electricity requirements are already being incorporated into the supply-chain policies of multinational corporations, rather than remaining a trend expected to emerge in the future.

According to its 2026 Environmental Progress Report, Apple has incorporated a requirement for 100% renewable electricity into its Supplier Code of Conduct. The company requires its direct manufacturing supply chain to use 100% renewable electricity for Apple-related production by 2030.

According to the U.S. technology company, electricity consumption at supplier factories is the largest source of greenhouse gas emissions across its supply chain. Switching to renewable power is therefore a key component of its 2030 carbon neutrality goal.

Environmental requirements are also being considered as part of trade policy. In the United States, the proposed Clean Competition Act, introduced in Congress in December 2025, would establish a carbon border adjustment mechanism based on the emissions intensity of goods.

Meanwhile, the European Union entered the definitive phase of its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on January 1, 2026, with the purchase and surrender of CBAM certificates scheduled to follow a phased timeline beginning in 2027. The mechanism covers products in six sectors: iron and steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizers, electricity and hydrogen.

Under the scheme, EU importers must fulfil obligations linked to emissions embedded in covered goods. Carbon costs could affect purchasing prices and the competitiveness of foreign producers, making emissions management an economic consideration as well as an environmental responsibility for businesses.

In Vietnam, demand for renewable electricity has already translated into actual transactions.

On June 1, 2026, Samsung Electronics Vietnam Thai Nguyen (SEVT) announced that it had implemented a direct power purchase agreement through the national grid, becoming the first corporate customer to complete a transaction under the DPPA mechanism.

The electricity supplied under the agreement comes from the TTC Duc Hue 2 solar power plant in Tay Ninh province, with expected output of around 70 million kWh a year.

The government established the DPPA framework under Decree 57/2025/ND-CP, which was subsequently amended and supplemented by Decree 243/2026/ND-CP. Current regulations have expanded participation to eligible electricity retailers operating in qualifying industrial and economic zones, creating additional arrangements for industrial customers to purchase renewable electricity.

Samsung’s case demonstrates that demand for renewable power has moved beyond commitments to actual transactions. It also raises questions about how the DPPA mechanism can be expanded to give more manufacturers access to clean electricity.

However, transactions conducted through the national grid require participants to account for network usage, dispatch, reserve capacity and other system services. How these costs are calculated and allocated directly affects companies’ overall electricity bills, as well as the interests of customers that do not participate in DPPAs.

This was among the issues the National Assembly’s Committee on Science, Technology and Environment called for clarification in its appraisal report on the draft Electricity Law amendments on October 20. The committee said DPPA participants should fulfil their cost obligations in full to prevent unreasonable cost transfers to other customers.

Beyond access to renewable electricity, businesses also need tools to verify the environmental attributes of the power they consume. Renewable energy certificates (RECs) serve this purpose, but their trading and use require reliable registration, verification and traceability mechanisms.

The draft amendments seek to establish a more complete legal framework for the REC market. The appraisal committee has called for clear rules on certificate ownership, trading and cancellation after use to prevent the same environmental attributes from being claimed more than once.

The issues under consideration therefore go beyond expanding the right to purchase renewable electricity. They also concern the overall cost of transactions and businesses’ ability to demonstrate that they use clean power - conditions that matter to companies seeking to meet environmental commitments made to international partners.

Reuters recently reported that the U.S.-China tariff war had helped accelerate the relocation of manufacturing to Vietnam. The expansion of export-oriented production has brought rising electricity demand. However, Reuters warned that the high share of coal-fired power in Vietnam’s electricity mix could pose an emissions challenge as international buyers increasingly scrutinize the carbon footprints of their supply chains.

For domestic companies seeking deeper integration into global supply chains, the ability to secure reliable electricity, manage emissions and meet partners’ environmental standards is likely to become increasingly important. These factors could increasingly influence the competitiveness of Vietnamese businesses as environmental requirements across global supply chains become more stringent.

Source: Vu Dang, Nguyen Quang

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Vietnam’s rapid growth reshapes Southeast Asia’s economic rankings: The Nation

Vietnam’s rapid growth reshapes Southeast Asia’s economic rankings: The Nation

Vietnam’s rapid economic growth is reshaping its position in Southeast Asia, with the country projected to overtake Indonesia in nominal GDP per capita in 2026, according to Thailand’s The Nation.

Vietnam’s nominal GDP per capita is forecast to reach US$5,259 in 2026, compared with US$5,153 for Indonesia, potentially placing it fifth among ASEAN economies, the Thai newspaper reported on October 31, citing International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections.

The outlook reflects Vietnam’s expanding manufacturing base, strong export performance and continued foreign investment. The Government has set a target of at least 10% economic growth in 2026, while real GDP grew 9.95% year on year in the third quarter.

Public investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) remain important drivers of the country’s economic expansion. In the first nine months of 2026, disbursed FDI reached US$21.1 billion, up 12% year on year, while registered capital for newly licensed projects rose 76% to US$50.3 billion.

Exports also recorded strong growth, increasing 25% to US$434 billion over the same period, according to figures cited by The Nation. International manufacturers, including Samsung Electronics and Foxconn, have continued to expand their production operations in Vietnam, reinforcing its role in global supply chains.

Mai Fujita, a senior researcher at the Institute of Developing Economies of the Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO), emphasised the importance of proactive public investment in supporting economic growth. She also highlighted the need to develop human resources and technological capabilities alongside infrastructure to sustain growth over the longer term.

Vietnam is now setting its sights on raising GDP per capita to US$8,500 by 2030, a level comparable to Thailand’s current figure.

Its projected rise in GDP per capita comes as Indonesia continues to expand at a more moderate pace, while Thailand faces slower growth and high household debt. However, nominal GDP per capita rankings are influenced by exchange rates and population size as well as economic performance, and do not in themselves reflect income distribution or living standards.

International forecasts also point to challenges ahead. The International Monetary Fund and the Asian Development Bank project Vietnam’s economy to grow by around 7.5% in 2027, below the Government’s ambition of at least 10% growth in 2026.

The longer-term challenge is therefore to translate rapid expansion into sustained productivity gains and higher incomes. Investment in skills, technology and infrastructure will be crucial to strengthening competitiveness and ensuring that Vietnam’s economic momentum can be maintained.


Vietnam manufacturing growth eases in October as export orders fall

Vietnam manufacturing growth eases in October as export orders fall

The Vietnamese manufacturing sector continued expansion in October, although price increases and supply issues limited growth in some cases.

The S&P Global Vietnam Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index ticked up to 52.3 points in October from 51.9 points in September, pointing to a further modest monthly strengthening in the health of the sector at the start of the fourth quarter. Business conditions have now improved in 16 consecutive months.

The overall improvement in operating conditions was limited by slower rises in output and new orders. Total new business rose for the sixth month running, despite falling new export orders weighing on growth. The rate of expansion was solid, but the slowest in the current growth sequence.

Manufacturing production expanded again in October as new orders increased on stronger customer demand. However, growth also eased here, hitting a six-month low. Some respondents said difficulties obtaining raw materials had limited production growth.

Transportation difficulties were evident in data on suppliers' delivery times, which lengthened markedly and to the largest extent since April. Rising fuel prices and poor weather conditions were among the factors leading to transportation delays, according to respondents.

Difficulties importing goods and the use of inputs to support production meant that stocks of purchases decreased solidly, despite sustained growth of input buying as companies made efforts to secure goods to support production.

Rising transportation costs were also central to the latest rise in input prices as higher costs for oil pushed up fuel prices. The rate of inflation quickened for the second month running and was the fastest since June, albeit still well below the spike seen following the outbreak of war in the Middle East. In turn, output prices also increased at a sharper pace, following only a slight rise in September.

Employment fell for the third consecutive month in October, though only slightly, with some firms citing staff resignations. Despite the smaller workforce, slower new order growth and more efficient processing of outstanding work allowed firms to reduce backlogs modestly.

Stocks of finished goods also fell as firms sold warehoused goods to draw down inventories. Post-production stocks decreased markedly, though slightly less than in September.

Optimism about better raw material availability and further improvements in market conditions supported a positive 12-month outlook for production. Sentiment hit an eight-month high but remained weaker than before the war in the Middle East.

Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence said, "Vietnamese firms are battling to maintain growth at present amid headwinds that are making their operations more challenging. New orders continued to rise in October, feeding through to a solid increase in production, but in both cases rates of expansion slowed from September."

"The limits to growth were often due to the international environment. Fuel and transportation costs rose amid higher oil prices, while companies reported difficulties importing and exporting products. While firms are able to maintain improvements for now, they will be hoping for a more conducive environment to growth in the months ahead," he added.


Hanoi issues guidelines on green, circular projects and ESG implementation

Hanoi issues guidelines on green, circular projects and ESG implementation

Hanoi has directed municipal departments to implement government guidelines for classifying green projects, circular economy initiatives, and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) frameworks, paving the way for eligible businesses to access interest rate subsidies.

Mr. Bui Duy Cuong, Vice Chairman of the Hanoi People’s Committee, signed Official Dispatch No. 6035/UBND-NNMT regarding the implementation of Prime Minister Decision No. 46/2026/QD-TTg dated September 17, 2026 (Decision 46).

The decision provides technical guidelines for classifying green projects, evaluating circular economy criteria, and applying ESG criteria.

Under Decision 46, enterprises, business households, and individual business entities executing certified green or circular projects and presenting ESG implementation reports will qualify for interest rate support considerations under applicable regulations.

Under the city’s directive, the Hanoi Department of Agriculture and Environment will serve as the focal agency, collaborating with relevant departments, sectors, and commune-level People's Committees to disseminate the decision.

The department is tasked with guiding the implementation of environmental and agricultural criteria for green and circular projects under its state management scope.

The department must compile the list of projects under the scope of Decision 46 to report to the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment. It will advise the municipal People's Committee on publishing the certified list of green, circular, and ESG-compliant projects biannually on the city's portal on June 30 and December 31.

Additionally, the department will inspect, monitor, and address violations regarding independent evaluation entities operating in agriculture and environment sectors, while supervising project compliance maintenance over time.

Concurrently, the Hanoi Department of Finance is assigned to lead data integration for investment management systems and oversee the implementation of governance frameworks. It will assess financial resources and state budget capabilities according to decentralized authority, alongside mobilizing alternative financial mechanisms to support green and circular programs.

The Department of Finance will also inspect and monitor independent rating agencies and ensure project compliance according to legal auditing and administrative violation frameworks.

The Hanoi Department of Industry and Trade will oversee project implementation across energy, processing, and manufacturing sectors. The department is tasked with promoting resource-efficient, low-emission, and sustainable production models, while evaluating criteria for industrial symbiosis and circular linkages.

The Hanoi Department of Construction will handle projects in construction, urban development, technical infrastructure, and transport, promoting resource-saving materials, low-carbon building technologies, and sustainable urban solutions.

Under Decision 46, a green project must meet specific eligibility requirements across designated sectors. Attached technical appendixes outline requirements for ten energy project categories, three transport categories, two construction categories, three water resource categories, 12 agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and biodiversity categories, six processing and manufacturing categories, and nine environmental service categories.

For circular economy projects, the regulations define eight project groups for circular design and manufacturing, two for circular utilization, five for resource recovery, and four for industrial symbiosis and circular integration.


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